'If it rains, Van der Poel has a small advantage on Pogačar' - Paris-Roubaix technical director says wet conditions would favour defending champion next Sunday in Hell of the North

Thierry Gouvenou, the technical director of Paris-Roubaix, has suggested that Mathieu van der Poel holds a slight edge over Tadej Pogačar if the race conditions turn wet for this Sunday’s edition of the Hell of the North. Van der Poel, the triple defending champion, is particularly adept in challenging weather, drawing on his cyclo-cross background to handle the slippery cobbles better than most. However, Gouvenou emphasised that in dry conditions, Pogačar remains the favourite, especially following his commanding victory at the Tour of Flanders, where he outclassed Van der Poel and other rivals. The weather forecast for northern France on race day indicates a chance of morning drizzle but generally dry conditions in the afternoon, which could influence the dynamics of the race. Gouvenou pointed out that rain and a headwind would hinder long-range attacks, a tactic favoured by both Van der Poel and Pogačar. The technical director also highlighted the physical demands of Paris-Roubaix, a flat but brutally powerful race, noting that while Pogačar is less naturally suited to the course, his mental strength and determination to claim this elusive Monument could prove decisive. Gouvenou acknowledged that Pogačar’s presence in Paris-Roubaix has significantly increased media interest and public excitement around the event. The Slovenian’s pursuit of the Monument title, alongside his Grand Tour successes, adds a compelling narrative to the race, demonstrating that riders can compete at the highest level across different cycling disciplines. This rivalry between two of the sport’s brightest stars promises a thrilling contest, with the outcome likely to hinge on both conditions and tactical execution. Despite Pogačar’s current status as the favourite, Gouvenou stressed that Van der Poel remains a formidable contender, particularly if the weather turns wet. The technical director’s insights underline the unpredictable nature of Paris-Roubaix, where factors such as terrain, weather, and rider resilience converge to shape the outcome. As the race approaches, all eyes will be on these two protagonists, whose contrasting strengths and styles will provide a captivating spectacle on one of cycling’s most iconic stages.